Aug 22, 2012

Caribbean-Houston Chronicle (blog) for the purpose of tropical depression nine forms, towards

National Hurricane Center upgraded the system to tropical depression 9 in the Central Atlantic Ocean this morning.


The next day or so after the storm aircraft today probably/tropical storm within, and late Wednesday or early Thursday, it will reach the Western Caribbean.

Depression produces a large area of showers (EUMETSAT)


National Hurricane Center depression for aggressive strength forecast this weekend as a category 2 hurricane. This is the warm waters and reduced wind shear values because of the storm front.


But possible interactions is the weekend, such as land for Hispaniola for an even more powerful Hurricane Center forecast the storm would call for.


So the system interacts with the land in the Caribbean? That's where there are some uncertainties in the forecast track. This is early in the run of some models, here is an example:

Tropical depression 9 00z model. (NCAR)


Does not appear on the European model, further South and eastern Mexico in the system keeping track of. If this model is correct, and the storm passed South of Hispaniola, Cuba, perhaps the only major hurricane to strengthen significantly, to spend some time. In these scenarios, you can be in Miami or Florida's West Coast. reporting a big Hurricane landing


The bottom line is that storm, likely will soon pose a threat to the Caribbean Islands, Isaac, weekend, and possibly Florida next week between Tuesday and Thursday. ?This time go to Western Mexico and Texas will it likely towards the track.


 

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